Does the Relative Size of an Insider's Trade Correlate with Over- or Under-Performance of Such Trade?
By: Brad Grounds The question we are trying to answer today is this: Does the size of a corporate insider's trade relative to the size of his or her past trades in the same company's stock correlate with the return achieved by such trade? Put another way, do abnormally large purchases by insiders earn, on average, higher returns than smaller purchases by the same insider? What Constitutes A Large Trade? A number of academic studies suggest that larger purchases do correlate with larger returns. However, it is important to note how each study defines large trades. Below are the two common ways that the line of demarcation between "large" and "small" trades have been defined in a number of different studies, as well as the potential shortcomings of such approaches. Total number of shares purchased - Using this method, the total number of shares purchased serve as the proxy to segment trades into groups. Trades with a very high number of shares - perh